How does analysts' forecast quality relate to corporate investment efficiency?
Chen, Jonas Tao
Date of Issue2017
College of Business (Nanyang Business School)
We examine the impact of financial analysts on the efficiency of firms’ investment decisions. We use the accuracy and dispersion of financial analysts’ earnings forecasts as proxies of analyst expertise and quality in making forecasts. We find that high quality forecast is associated with higher investment if the firm is more likely to under-invest and lower investment if the firm is more likely to over-invest, suggesting that forecast quality increases firm-level investment efficiency. We further show that such effects are stronger for the firms with higher information asymmetry and lower institutional stock ownership. The results are consistent with the notion that higher quality of analyst forecasts increases the information environment and external monitoring, which in turn increases investment efficiency.
Journal of Corporate Finance
© 2017 Elsevier B. V. This is the author created version of a work that has been peer reviewed and accepted for publication by Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier. It incorporates referee’s comments but changes resulting from the publishing process, such as copyediting, structural formatting, may not be reflected in this document. The published version is available at: [http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2016.12.010].