Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
|Title:||Hurricane Sandy’s flood frequency increasing from year 1800 to 2100||Authors:||Lin, Ning
Kopp, Robert E.
Horton, Benjamin P.
Donnelly, Jeffrey P.
|Issue Date:||2016||Source:||Lin, N., Kopp, R. E., Horton, B. P., & Donnelly, J. P. (2016). Hurricane Sandy’s flood frequency increasing from year 1800 to 2100. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(43), 12071-12075. doi:10.1073/pnas.1604386113||Series/Report no.:||Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences||Abstract:||Coastal flood hazard varies in response to changes in storm surge climatology and the sea level. Here we combine probabilistic projections of the sea level and storm surge climatology to estimate the temporal evolution of flood hazard. We find that New York City’s flood hazard has increased significantly over the past two centuries and is very likely to increase more sharply over the 21st century. Due to the effect of sea level rise, the return period of Hurricane Sandy’s flood height decreased by a factor of ∼3× from year 1800 to 2000 and is estimated to decrease by a further ∼4.4× from 2000 to 2100 under a moderate-emissions pathway. When potential storm climatology change over the 21st century is also accounted for, Sandy’s return period is estimated to decrease by ∼3× to 17× from 2000 to 2100.||URI:||https://hdl.handle.net/10356/84348
|ISSN:||0027-8424||DOI:||http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1604386113||Rights:||© 2016 The Author(s) (published by National Academy of Sciences). This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License.||Fulltext Permission:||open||Fulltext Availability:||With Fulltext|
|Appears in Collections:||ASE Journal Articles|
EOS Journal Articles
Items in DR-NTU are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.