Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/169817
Title: Characterizing drivers of Asia's black elephant disaster risks
Authors: Lin, Yolanda C.
Sarica, Mestav Gizem
Chua, Terence
Stone, Asa B.
Jenkins, Susanna F.
Switzer, Adam D.
Woo, Gordon
Lallemant, David
Keywords: Business::Management
Issue Date: 2022
Source: Lin, Y. C., Sarica, M. G., Chua, T., Stone, A. B., Jenkins, S. F., Switzer, A. D., Woo, G. & Lallemant, D. (2022). Characterizing drivers of Asia's black elephant disaster risks. Earth's Future, 10(12). https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002607
Project: NRF2018-SR2001-007 
NRF-NRFF2018-06 
Journal: Earth's Future 
Abstract: Asia has the fastest growing population and economy, but it is also the most disaster-prone region in the world. Resilience to disaster impacts from natural hazards will be key to the long-term sustainability of this rapidly growing region. The first step to building resilience is to identify the key threats that this region faces. We describe these key threats as Black Elephants: a cross between a “black swan” and the proverbial "elephant in the room" — they are extreme events that are known but difficult to address and often ignored. We examine the primary drivers of these looming risks and find that the drivers include underestimated or intensifying hazards, growing exposure, high vulnerability, and unaccounted complexities from multi-hazard events. In mitigating these key risks, we discuss psychological barriers to action and highlight the importance of information, language, and hope. The known but complex impacts from natural hazards in Asia must be further acknowledged and managed in order to build a more sustainable, resilient future in an increasingly globally connected world.
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/169817
ISSN: 2328-4277
DOI: 10.1029/2021EF002607
Schools: Asian School of the Environment 
Research Centres: Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management 
Energy Research Institute @ NTU (ERI@N) 
Earth Observatory of Singapore 
Rights: © 2022 The Authors. Earth's Future published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Geophysical Union. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Fulltext Permission: open
Fulltext Availability: With Fulltext
Appears in Collections:ASE Journal Articles

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