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Title: Evaluating knowledge gaps in sea-level rise assessments from the United States
Authors: Garner, Andra J.
Sosa, Sarah E.
Tan, Fangyi
Tan, Christabel Wan Jie
Garner, Gregory G.
Horton, Benjamin Peter
Keywords: Science::Geology
Issue Date: 2023
Source: Garner, A. J., Sosa, S. E., Tan, F., Tan, C. W. J., Garner, G. G. & Horton, B. P. (2023). Evaluating knowledge gaps in sea-level rise assessments from the United States. Earth's Future, 11(2).
Project: MOE2019-T3-1-004 
Journal: Earth's Future 
Abstract: There have been many scientific advances regarding future sea-level projections, however it is unclear if these have been transferred to assessment reports used by stakeholders. Here, we present a first-of-its-kind comprehensive analysis of regional sea-level rise (SLR) assessments for the United States (U.S.). We identify variations in time horizons over which regions plan for SLR, with 25 projections from the U.S. Northeast and West that extend to 2150 or beyond, but no projections from the U.S. South beyond 2100. The majority of 2100 projections from the U.S. Northeast (77%) and West (83%) include ranges of future SLR, while 88% of projections from the U.S. South include only single estimates. At least 56% of U.S. communities in the database underestimate the upper end of future SLR compared to the regional projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report.
ISSN: 2328-4277
DOI: 10.1029/2022EF003187
Schools: Asian School of the Environment 
Research Centres: Earth Observatory of Singapore 
Rights: © 2023 The Authors. Earth's Future published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Geophysical Union. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Fulltext Permission: open
Fulltext Availability: With Fulltext
Appears in Collections:EOS Journal Articles

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