Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
|Title:||Do risk-neutral moments incorporate forward-looking information?||Authors:||Chan, Weng San
Loo, Samantha Kate Su Lyn
Lee, Jamie Yee Jia
|Issue Date:||2014||Abstract:||“Stocks are bought on expectations, not facts.” -Gerald M. Loeb The stock market is constantly experiencing fluctuation, with prices moving every second. To the general public, these stock prices are reflections of the company’s intrinsic values and its fundamentals. However, we believe that these numbers are no mere values; instead, they carry an underlying model which encompasses information about market expectations. It is believed that these prices may have predictive power over future prices. In our study, we extracted this forward-looking information from the US option prices using the Black-Scholes Model. We performed tests to determine correlations between the parameters that define the implied volatility that is embedded in the option prices. Then we estimated a multivariate time series model to define the underlying relationship between risk neutral moments and the returns from stock options.||URI:||http://hdl.handle.net/10356/59308||Rights:||Nanyang Technological University||Fulltext Permission:||restricted||Fulltext Availability:||With Fulltext|
|Appears in Collections:||HSS Student Reports (FYP/IA/PA/PI)|
Items in DR-NTU are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.