Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/79838
Title: Future of U.S. power : is China going to eclipse the United States? : two possible scenarios to 2040
Authors: Tuomo Kuosa
Keywords: DRNTU::Social sciences::Military and naval science
Issue Date: 2010
Source: Tuomo Kuosa. (2010). Future of U.S. power : is China going to eclipse the United States? : two possible scenarios to 2040. (RSIS Working Paper, No. 203). Singapore: Nanyang Technological University.
Series/Report no.: RSIS Working Paper ; 203/10
Abstract: This working paper discusses a few possible ways how U.S. power may evolve from 2010 to 2040. I begin with a description of this work’s jectives, and continue with the introduction of the mixed scenario method that will be used in this work. I will summarize the epochs of the U.S. power, such as establishing the nation, achieving the world hegemony, attempts to build an Empire, struggling with rising multipolarity and contemporary attempts to maintain the (declining) hegemony. Then I attempt to draw analogies from the knowledge of evolution of historical empires to the contemporary world’s political economy. Next, I will discuss the historical and emerging power trajectories of China and its long-term abilities to challenge the United States and achieve the world hegemony. Finally, I will provide two mixedmethod scenarios, where the United States and China have totally different roles and powers. Key words: United States, China, mixed scenario method, exploratory forecasting, power trajectories, clash, economic recession, multipolarity, hegemony, rise and fall of an Empire, use of analogies from history to project futures.
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/79838
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/6521
Schools: S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies 
Fulltext Permission: open
Fulltext Availability: With Fulltext
Appears in Collections:RSIS Working Papers

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
WP203.pdf1.1 MBAdobe PDFThumbnail
View/Open

Page view(s) 5

986
Updated on Jun 13, 2024

Download(s) 5

780
Updated on Jun 13, 2024

Google ScholarTM

Check

Items in DR-NTU are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.