Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82750
Title: Post-TPP trade policy options for Asean and its dialogue partners : “preference ordering” using CGE analysis
Authors: Ji, Xianbai
Rana, Pradumna Bickram
Chia, Wai-Mun
Li, Changtai
Keywords: RCEP
Post-TPP
Social sciences::Political science
Issue Date: 2018
Source: Ji, X., Rana, P. B., Chia, W.-M., & Li, C. (2018). Post-TPP trade policy options for Asean and its dialogue partners : “preference ordering” using CGE analysis. East Asian Economic Review, 22(2), 177-215. doi:10.11644/KIEP.EAER.2018.22.2.342
Series/Report no.: East Asian Economic Review
Abstract: Trump’s withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and his “America First” trade agenda ignite a second round of interest in mega-free trade agreements in the Asia-Pacific. Countries are evaluating alternative trade policy actions in a post-TPP era. Using national real GDP gains estimated by a modified GTAP model to construct “preference ordering” for 10 Association of Southeast Asian Nations members and their six regional dialogue partners, this paper comes up with several policy-oriented findings. First, when multilateral agreements are not possible, countries are better off with a regional trading agreement than without one. Second, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership is likely to have higher beneficial impacts than the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership. Third, for dual-track countries, implementing both agreements is better than each separately. Fourth, impacts of open regionalism are likely to be higher than those of a closed and reciprocal one. Going forward, this paper argues that countries should adopt a “multi-track, multi-stage” approach to trade policy.
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82750
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/49086
ISSN: 2508-1640
DOI: 10.11644/KIEP.EAER.2018.22.2.342
Rights: © 2018 EAER is an open access journal distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license.
Fulltext Permission: open
Fulltext Availability: With Fulltext
Appears in Collections:RSIS Journal Articles
SSS Journal Articles

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
post-TPP.pdf2.5 MBAdobe PDFThumbnail
View/Open

PublonsTM
Citations

2
Updated on Nov 24, 2020

Page view(s)

107
Updated on Nov 25, 2020

Download(s)

15
Updated on Nov 25, 2020

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric


Plumx

Items in DR-NTU are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.