Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/83057
Title: Applying the ethnic rebellion model and risk assessment model to conflict in Myanmar
Authors: Cook, Alistair David Blair
Kaur, Manpavan
Gong, Lina
Keywords: Conflict
Myanmar
Issue Date: 2011
Source: Cook, A. D. B., Gong, L., & Kaur, M. (2011). Applying the ethnic rebellion model and risk assessment model to conflict in Myanmar. (RSIS NTS Insight March 2011). Singapore: Nanyang Technological University.
Abstract: One of the salient policy recommendations for conflict and genocide prevention is the use of early warning models. This NTS Insight investigates and applies two well-known models used for conflict and genocide risk assessments to test the impact of Myanmar's Border Guard Force (BGF) policy on the ongoing internal ethnic conflict. The two models used are the Ethnic Rebellion Model (ERM) (Harff and Gurr, 1998) and the Risk Assessment Model (RAM) for Genocides or Politicides (Harff, 2003). The application of these models shows that the internal ethnic conflict is likely to continue and there exist trigger or accelerating factors for genocide to occur. While there is utility in applying these models, this NTS Insight also identifies some gaps in and challenges with these models, which need to be addressed if they are to become effective conflict and genocide prevention assessments.
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/83057
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/45064
Rights: Nanyang Technological University
Fulltext Permission: open
Fulltext Availability: With Fulltext
Appears in Collections:RSIS Working Papers

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
NL110331_NTS_Insight_Mar2011.pdf651.41 kBAdobe PDFThumbnail
View/Open

Page view(s) 20

544
Updated on Jun 27, 2022

Download(s) 20

157
Updated on Jun 27, 2022

Google ScholarTM

Check

Items in DR-NTU are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.