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dc.contributor.authorChan, Chung-Hanen
dc.identifier.citationChan, C.-H. (2016). Importance of three-dimensional grids and time-dependent factors for applications of earthquake forecasting models to subduction environments. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16(9), 2177-2187. doi:10.5194/nhess-16-2177-2016en
dc.description.abstractThis study provides some new insights into earthquake forecasting models that are applied to regions with subduction systems, including the depth component for forecasting grids and time-dependent factors. To demonstrate the importance of depth component, a forecasting approach, which incorporates three-dimensional grids, is compared with an approach with two-dimensional cells. Through application to the two subduction regions, Ryukyu and Kanto, it is shown that the approaches with three-dimensional grids always demonstrate a better forecasting ability. I thus confirm the importance of depth dependency for forecasting, especially for applications to a subduction environment or a region with non-vertical seismogenic structures. In addition, this study discusses the role of time-dependent factors for forecasting models and concludes that time dependency only becomes crucial during the period with significant seismicity rate change that follows a large earthquake.en
dc.format.extent11 p.en
dc.relation.ispartofseriesNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciencesen
dc.rights© 2016 Author(s). This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.en
dc.subjectScience::Geology::Volcanoes and earthquakesen
dc.subjectEarthquake Forecasting Modelsen
dc.subjectTime-dependent Factorsen
dc.titleImportance of three-dimensional grids and time-dependent factors for applications of earthquake forecasting models to subduction environmentsen
dc.typeJournal Articleen
dc.contributor.researchEarth Observatory of Singaporeen
dc.description.versionPublished versionen
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